Straight talk. If you say HPA supports your figure of 1.6%, that is a deliberate lie to conceal the scale of the problem. HPA STATES 5.3%. Not for London, but overall for England and Wales. As an average for ages 15 to 44, if a steady rise from zero, at age 44 it will be at 10.6%. (If the rise is not linear, that will be an underestimate.) 10.6% will be a great underestimate of the proportion who have succumbed because by age 44, half have ALREADY DIED. And the figure will go on rising for another 30 years. 1.6% is a lie Royston.
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