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User Name | Thread Name | Subject | Posted |
GUEST,Muray MacLeod | BS: Mathematical Probability Query (103* d) | RE: BS: Mathematical Probability Query | 12 Oct 00 |
OK Wolfgang, after the cups I am prepared to be wrong again, but it looks to me like urn A now has a 5/6 probability of black, and urn B has 3/4 probability of black. So urn A is still the preferred option. So where is the paradox? Sounds more like Homer Simpson's paradox to me. |