Mudcat Café Message

sj

User Name	Thread Name	Subject	Posted
Lindsay	BS: Mathematical Probability Query II (47)	RE: BS: Mathematical Probability Query II	15 Oct 00
While, the probabilites listed by AndyG agree with mine, I cannot figure how they are modified by the odds of who gets the first shot. Obviously, if A gets the first shot, then his odds of surviving increase since he will shoot B first. If he is not killed by C, then C will die in the next round. So how do we modify A's survival odds of 24% in light of the fact that he has a 33.3% chance of shooting first? or a 66.6% of not shooting first? The same question applies to B and C. I believe the percentages listed by AndyG assume (no slight intended, pls correct me if I am wrong) B and C shoot before A. Terry W.

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