Mudcat Café Message

sj

User Name	Thread Name	Subject	Posted
meself	BS: 65% vs 35% of a Chance (31)	RE: BS: 65% vs 35% of a Chance	06 Nov 16
That's what I thought! Seriously - I get how it makes sense for coin tosses and poker hands - and maybe even as a formula for placing bets at horse races - but for someone's 'chance' of winning an election?! Are they figuring in things like, 'the odds that Hillary will use a racist slur and alienate half her supporters are 1000 to 1' and 'the odds that she will collapse with exhaustion and alienate 27.8% of her supporters are 100 to 1' and 'the odds that Trump will change his mind on Muslims and gain 22% more votes are a million to 1' - or what?

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