With the caution that I know anything can happen there is as yet no massive swing to the NF in France. Sure Le Pen got 21.3% of the First Round vote so secured a place in the final round but the actual swing to her from the last election is not so great. She got 17.9% last time so it is actually only a 3.4% increase in the vote. Let's keep things in perspective.

It is not the first time the NF candidate has reached the 2nd Round so the important thing is how many second round votes will she get? Her father got 16.86% of the First Round vote in 2002 but only managed to increase it to 17.92% in the Second Round. He captured just over 1% more of the vote. His daughter needs to capture another 29% or so!!!