Hi Amos. :) // We're resilient. We survived Nixon, after all. // It's unlikely a 3rd party candidate would win. But, not impossible. I'd guess it would take maybe 35% - 40% of the overall popular vote, but *perfectly distributed so as to carry enough states to assemble the requisite 270 electoral votes*. The fact that it takes only a plurality, not a majority, to elect all of a state's Electors (well, except Maine's & Nebraska's which can theoretically "split" although they never actually have) would benefit a strong--but only a *very* strong--3rd party contender. // On paper at least, I fear such a contender is more likely, or less *un*likely, to be on the far Right than on the purist Left. // Then again, the Bushies have got the far Right pretty well co-opted at present.