Ebbie here's a quote: "The virus has jumped to humans 34 times, with 24 deaths, many of them children. The most recent death, a 12-year-old Vietnamese boy, was disclosed Saturday." http://www.ajc.com/news/content/news/0304/24birdflu.html I'm no virologist, but I simply divided 24/34. I'm no virologist, but is it not true that one little mutation takes us to human-human transmission and . . . . (Metchosin - can you help us both out on this - you seem to have some scientific savvy.)