The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #94033   Message #1868813
Posted By: Old Guy
25-Oct-06 - 11:12 PM
Thread Name: BS: Realizations about Iraq
Subject: RE: BS: Realizations about Iraq
If America pulls out the Sunnis and Shia will be fighting for control of everything worse than they are now.

The current govern ment does not show strong leadership. It is my oppion that these people need a strong leader, like a Saddam, to be controlled. They do not have the ability to get along. They cannot handle democracy. It is too new to them. Democracy there is possible, look at Turkey and Algeria. Just not so soon.

I am also afraid that as long as Saddam is alive, there is a chance that he will come back into power.

So in short The US Army should not pull out. Thing change very quickly there. Muqtada al-Sadr could or any insurgent leader could be killed anyday and things could change drasticaly. Or someone like Muqtada al-Sadr could take control of the government and tell The US Army to leave.

It is too volatile for anybody, experienced expert or not, to say what will happen but I do think it would be better to split it up and it will be tough titty for the Sunnis. They are the original troublemakers and they have screwed thierself. They had a chance to let things go smoothly but no, they wanted a bigger and bigger share.

...The US government dreamed that the three groups would compete peacefully, peacefully accept the results of the elections, and share power peacefully. Nonsense. The Sunnis judged that they were likelier to get a bigger share of power through bullets than through ballots. It is essential to note that the Sunnis have fought the elections not because they are rigged, but precisely because they are not rigged...

Exerpt from http://www.milnet.com/mid-east-news/The-Mideast-08.html