It's down to field placings and luck. The number of Aussie thick-edges that went through and over the slip/gully area in the first session, they could have been 80-4. It was like that in 2005, but England were fortunate that many of the edges went to hand.

I agree with Terry. Warne notwithstanding (which, granted, is a risky thing to say!) it will come down to whether England make use of the prime batting conditions like the Australians have. If they do, the match will peter out drawn, and that will suit England far more than Australia.

If if if.