I don't usually get involved in this shit but I have to answer Teribus who is becoming wildly inaccurate.

1/2. are actually the same point.

Blair said on numerous occasions that he intented to serve a full third term.
Public opinion polls showed that he had become very unpopular...several percentage points behind Mr Cameron.
Although Labour won the last election, their majority was considerably reduced...Many said that the victory was in reality a defeat.....Public opinion had swug away from Labour.

Now this in itself does not prove my point.....But, when Blair was forced by the party to stand down and replaced by Brown, who had been less visible in his support for the Iraq war, Labour began to climb in the opinion polls. Now standing 10 points higher than Mr Cameron

Everything I write here Teribus, is "my opinion" just like you.

In this case, my opinion reflects the facts quite accurately ...Ake