WSJ 19 Jan 2008:

"Polls find" edge for Clinton over Obama in Nevada. But, as article points out, it will depend on the actual turnout. If the Obama supporters are fired up by the despicable maneuverings on the Clinton side, or by the idea of making history-- (but these are workers, not students)-- that may make the difference. Against this is are the facts that Hillary has the Democratic establishment on her side, and some tension between blacks and Hispanics, leading many (but not all) Hispanics to be reluctant to vote for a black candidate.