Re: the poster who alleged that Israel, before the recent Iranian push for nuclear power, intended to destroy Iran:   still no evidence.   Not exactly surprising, since there is no such evidence.

Not only is the idea that Israel intended--before the recent push for nuclear power--to destroy Iran 100% pure drivel, but it is pernicious, i.e. anti-Semitic drivel, by implying that Israel is the ultimate warmonger of that area of the world, a belief that though fondly held by some on the Left, is nonetheless a libelous canard.

And I'm not the only one who recognizes this:   another description, as I recall was "beyond hogwash".





Now, having disposed of that absurd allegation regarding Israel, on to the actual topic of the thread:

It's truly amazing how many theories there area about what is likely to happen as a result of the Iranian election.

WSJ today 24 June 20009:   According to the head of the Moslem Brotherhood's political wing in Egypt (of all people):   "The Iranians have failed in their attempts to export the Islamic revolution for the past 30 years, but now maybe they can export their model of peaceful protests.   This would be very dangerous to the Arab regimes."

Again WSJ: The images of "beating and killing unarmed protesters, including women....have punctured the Islamic Republic's carefully constructed image as a champion of the oppressed masses".

A columnist states, without much support as far as I can tell, that since Mr. A's election has been called "divine" by Khameinei, and Mr. A has accused Rafsanjani and his children of corruption, that Rafsanjani and his children would have to leave Iran. But instead, according to the columnist, he is "reportedly trying to recruit a majority of the Assembly of Experts to remove Khameinei or at least force him to order new elections".

This columnist predicts that "even if he remains in office, Ahmadinejad cannot really function as president. For one thing the parliament is unlikely to confirm his ministerial appointments and he cannot govern without them. If Khamenei is not removed by the Assembly of Experts and Ahmadinejad is not removed by Khamenei, the government will continue to be paralyzed."

I think he has his rose-colored glasses on too tight.

In fact, elsewhere in the WSJ it's noted that there is "a concern in Washington that Moscow and Beijing could cite Iran's political instability as reasons not to enforce new economic sanctions on Iran."

No way anybody can predict with any certainty what the outcome will be.