"The election in spring is going to bring a few surprises."

No - I shouldn't think so.

People won't be so apathetic this time after the European elections so there won't be any BNP.

Labour will lose out, but maybe not by as much as the Tories might have hoped last year.

People may say that they still aren't happy with the two main parties, but they would rather vote than not vote.

The Tories will get the largest share of the vote.

But I also predict an increase in the Lib Dem share.

The only question is: by how much?