Cynical bastard that I am, I expect that they will just wind up with different totalitarian thugs running the various countries.

Whether they are organised on political, ethnic, religious, or quasi-religious bases is immaterial.

Ths is the historical pattern for the region, and I don't see any reason why it would change - and don't try to tell me that the people have any understanding of, or desire for, real democracy, which I think they see as weakness.