The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #26283   Message #317070
Posted By: GUEST,Muray MacLeod
12-Oct-00 - 07:09 AM
Thread Name: BS: Mathematical Probability Query
Subject: RE: BS: Mathematical Probability Query
OK Wolfgang, after the cups I am prepared to be wrong again, but it looks to me like urn A now has a 5/6 probability of black, and urn B has 3/4 probability of black. So urn A is still the preferred option. So where is the paradox? Sounds more like Homer Simpson's paradox to me.

Murray