It's sort of like Jean Dixon or a lot of other prognosticators. She'd make a batch of predictions for the coming year and people would be amazed that much of what she predicted actually came true.

Things like—there will be a major earthquake; there will be a tragic plane crash; there will be a political scandal; a famous person will pass away…..    You get the idea. It's a rare year when at least some of these things don't happen, so she can't help but get pretty good percentages.

But the more specific the prognosticator gets, the lower the accuracy.

Can you cite some instances where you were actually right, GfS?   Now's your chance to dazzle us!

Don Firth