I think Germany may well win it. We shall see though. There are plenty of other sides with enough talent to do the job. No side is going to play well and be lucky in six consecutive games, so it will go to the side which has the most momentum (and luck) in two weeks time. This is probably the weakest England squad to go to a major tournament for over twenty years. Mercifully the expectations are lower this time around - which is a healthy sign of realism. Taking any more than three points from the group stages would be a fine achievement - and no one should really get upset if England do worse than that. Ireland look well organised and with a run of luck they could surprise us all.