The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #147796   Message #3428121
Posted By: GUEST,TIA
29-Oct-12 - 11:31 PM
Thread Name: BS: Monty Hall Problem
Subject: RE: BS: Monty Hall Problem
If anyone really believes the pure 50/50 thing, play the game and you will change your mind. Read Jim Dixon's decision tree and you will change your mind.
It is not intuitive, but it is entirely and thoroughly provably correct that switching after the reveal gives you much better odds.
There are at least three different non-mathematical proofs above for anyone who is truly seeking to understand.
But you curmudgeons...please proceed.