The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #147796   Message #3433854
Posted By: GUEST,Rev Bayes
09-Nov-12 - 06:04 PM
Thread Name: BS: Monty Hall Problem
Subject: RE: BS: Monty Hall Problem
>>Yup. And there are two doors available. ONE choice between TWO doors (options). The fact that there were three doors at the start simply cannot influence ONE choice between TWO options in the second round.

When you first pick a door, you have a 1/3 chance of picking the car.
Yes?

If I now open a goaty door, the probability is still 1/3 I have a car.
Yes?

So if I have two options, and the option I've got is 1/3, the other must be 2/3.
Yes?