The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #156848   Message #3698753
Posted By: GUEST,Allan Conn
31-Mar-15 - 06:11 PM
Thread Name: BS: voting? (UK)
Subject: RE: BS: voting? (UK)
Yeagh but Labour not getting an overall majority is not the same as another 5 years of Cameron. In truth neither party is likely to get a majority. But the way the seats look like panning out in Scotland suits a potential Lab-Nat group much more than it does a renewed Tory-LibDem grouping.

In the last election the current coalition got 98 seats more than Labour and the SNP did combined. If the Lib Dems do lose the predicted 10 Scottish seats than that instantly drops to 78 seats a massive 20% or so change from only 8% of the population. Then there is the Lib Dem collapse in England along with the swing from Tory to Labour since last election. ie The Tories had about a 7% lead last election whilst in BBCs poll of polls the two main parties are neck and neck so far.

So Labour are trying to say in Scotland that vote SNP and we have no chance of getting a majority and you may well get the Tories but they have two problems with that. Firstly none of the gains with the possible exception of my own constituency have any chance of being Tory gains. Scots who vote SNP know the Nats will oppose the Tories in Westminster just as much as any Labour MP would do. Secondly people who vote SNP don't want Labour to have a majority.