Outside the UK, I don't know how well known this (possibly apocryphal) quote from Harold Macmillan is, when he was asked what a prime minister most feared: "Events, dear boy, events".

I was for Remain, but would certainly not claim those who voted to leave were deluded. Along with all the stuff that was said, both those voting to stay and remain were given an almost impossible task to judge which approach would put us in the better position to deal with completely unpredictable "events" not just those we can predict, (with varying degrees of accuracy). And to be honest I think how we deal with such things is more important than whether any given statement from either side was true, spun, or wholly false.

Now my judgment is that more events will need a cooperative approach with a body like the EU, whereas others may think what counts is the flexibility of being able to take decisions on your own without talking to a host of other counties with possibly conflicting objectives. But that is what it is: a judgement not, essentially, a factual analysis.

And that is the key question for Trump vs Hilary: what is each voter's judgement on how each will react to unexpected events.