I think bookmakers have more significance than coin flippers.

For Example the surprising results of the Brexit vote was due to the favorable polls to stay that came from London polls which were highly skewed to stay because of the many bookmaker-Investment Bankers centered in London. People expected the country to follow the smart money.

Switch to Washington, and land line phone polls vastly favor the status quo. No one expects rural America to turn out an unprecedented vote. If Trump was serious he would have leased 10o,000 buses and pick up trucks for rural America to get folks to cast their vote.


PS
Some of the religious right have come off looking like Family value hypocrites, more than usual.

I am not expecting surprising results but I do expect chaos and recriminations.