The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #160897   Message #3818816
Posted By: Rapparee
07-Nov-16 - 09:18 PM
Thread Name: BS: 65% vs 35% of a Chance
Subject: RE: BS: 65% vs 35% of a Chance
Those are binary events: you may or may not die in a skydiving accident. The chances are remote if you do not skydive, but you could be hit by someone or something falling on you. When you view life (or whatever) as a binary event much changes.

However, life is not such. I find it interesting to blow people's minds by reducing the weather or something to an either/or scenario.

However, statistics and permutations CAN tell us something about overall trends: so many people will probably die in traffic accidents, for example. They cannot tell us who these people will be; they can tell us a certain percentage will be driving drunk.