The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #165797   Message #3981206
Posted By: DMcG
10-Mar-19 - 03:06 AM
Thread Name: BS: 2 degree rise=200 million refugees
Subject: RE: BS: 2 degree rise=200 million refugees
I was at a talk by Chris Packham last night. The first half was primarily on photography and the second on environmentalism and associated issues. He made the point that up to about 1.5C we have fairly reliable models of what will happen. Not perfect, of course, but with a good level of confidence. For 2C we don't - the whole thing goes beyond what we can predict and 'the unanticipated' rules supreme.