The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #167497 Message #4043569
Posted By: Iains
01-Apr-20 - 09:52 AM
Thread Name: BS: UK politics. Last ditch attempt
Subject: RE: BS: UK politics. Last ditch attempt
We are not going to know who adopted the best tactics to minmise fatalities from this virus until long after the event. We do not know how many are infected,,who actually died from the virus directly ot even how effective testing is. We are likely still several weeks away from peak levels. The population density in London will pose special problems
positive Deaths Italy 105,792 12,428 Spain 95,923 8,464 Germany 71,808 775 France 52,128 3,523 UK 25,150 2.352 Switzerland 16,605 433 Belgium 12,775 705 Netherlands 12,595 1,039 Austria 10,298 128
It is rate of hospitalisation and demand for intensive care versus the beds available that will influence final outcomes. The death rate will continue to rise until the lockdown takes effect. The common flu kills 14000 every year in the UK. This is a new virus with an unknown mortality rate. We will be lucky if it is less than 0.1%. The virulence may reduceas the dayswarm, it could mutate to a renewed virulence come the autumn. There are simply too many unknowns at present and the mainstream media merely muddy the waters in search of cheap sensationalism. The UK was thought to be better prepared than most countries for a pandemic. Tiime will tell.