Let's review my predictions.

The first I got wrong. In my ward, the Conservative Jaden Beaurain did not win; he was 300 votes behind the Labour candidate. The LibDem took a significant portion of the vote, but the other two left-of-centre parties did not.

My second prediction was that the Tories would say this was bad, but not as bad as the predicted and this has been quite widespread. I haven't yet seen a commentator think Labour performed better than moderately well.

My third prediction - about the numbers of letters - will need more time to see if it was right, but I still think so.