Every message has a number assigned sequentially. For example, to see message number 700000 (the most recent round number), copy the following URL into your browser:
http://www.mudcat.org/detail.cfm?messages__message_id=700000
You will also see the date the message was posted. To see the exact time the message was posted, there is one more step: click the subject heading. This reveals that message number 700000 was posted at 28-Apr-02 - 05:42 PM.
Checking at intervals of 20000 messages, I saw that message 680000 was posted at 31-Mar-02 - 06:33 AM, and so on. I went back as far as message 440000, at 13-Apr-01 - 04:45 PM. I then put all this information into a spreadsheet. Adding some formulas, you can calculate the average number of messages per day for each interval of 20000 messages.
Here are my results.
Message Date Time (*)
------ --------- -------- ---
700000 28-Apr-02 - 05:42 PM n/a
680000 31-Mar-02 - 06:33 AM 703
660000 28-Feb-02 - 12:53 PM 651
640000 01-Feb-02 - 09:31 AM 737
620000 02-Jan-02 - 03:14 PM 672
600000 29-Nov-01 - 01:33 AM 579
580000 25-Oct-01 - 09:36 PM 585
560000 27-Sep-01 - 01:31 PM 706
540000 01-Sep-01 - 11:41 PM 782
520000 02-Aug-01 - 06:21 PM 662
500000 06-Jul-01 - 02:38 PM 737
480000 09-Jun-01 - 10:15 PM 750
460000 10-May-01 - 06:15 PM 663
440000 13-Apr-01 - 04:45 PM 739
(*) Average messages per day for the period beginning on that date.
I leave you to your own interpretation, but I'm impressed by how consistent the numbers have been over the past year. Subjective impressions can be deceiving.