I suppose it depends on how much variation you want. But think of this: if you have two ways of playing bar 4, 2 ways of playing bar 8, 2 ways of playing bar 12, and 2 ways of playing bar 16, then you have 16 ways of playing the tune. You can vary by: Changing the rhythm Adding notes in the gaps Using different notes from those "written". I guess the technical difficulty of these three methods increases in more or less that order. The basic rules of harmony for writing 2 part pieces are fairly simple and logical. If nothing comes into your head when you play, then a couple of minutes with a sheet of music paper and a pencil will produce some formulaic variations, and you can use those as a basis for something more natural. I guess few musicians improvise long passages "on the spot". Much improvisation is things which worked before, repeated more confidently, but semi randomly.
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