Mudcat Café Message

sj

User Name	Thread Name	Subject	Posted
AndyG	BS: Mathematical Probability Query II (47)	RE: BS: Mathematical Probability Query II	13 Oct 00
I've renamed my cowboys (for clarity) and made the assumption (not clear) that each man is free to choose his own targets, A has 100% accuracy B has 80% accuracy C has 50% accuracy If that is so then: A must target B before C to maximise his chance of survival B must target A first or face certain death (as a consequence of A's targeting criteria) If C shoots at B first and hits he faces certain death (from A) so he too must shoot A first. Given that I estimate that after 2 rounds of fire, A has ~24% chance of survival which is fixed B has ~29% chance of survival which is slowly increasing C has 44% chance of survival which is slowly decreasing and, at this point there's a 2.5% chance that both B & C are still alive. AndyG

Back to the Main Forum Page

By clicking on the User Name, you will requery the forum for that user. You will see everything that he or she has posted with that Mudcat name.

By clicking on the Thread Name, you will be sent to the Forum on that thread as if you selected it from the main Mudcat Forum page.

By clicking on the Subject, you will also go to the thread as if you selected it from the original Forum page, but also go directly to that particular message.

By clicking on the Date (Posted), you will dig out every message posted that day.

Try it all, you will see.