Well no it is not quite as simple as you would like to think Shaw. It is not 27:1. It is not 443 million: 65 million. It is not a battle with locked horns between two adversaries and to view it that way is idiotic - if they want a deal then THEY have to start negotiating or they will be screwed out of "a deal" by THEIR OWN rules and treaty conditions. There are costs to both in this equation and I do not think for a second that the EU Commission has even considered that aspect of it yet. Merkel in Germany I am sure is being reminded of those potential costs every single day by German industry. Macron in France is in for a bit of a shock in the coming eight weeks when the EU Ministers, NOT the EU Commissioners, hold talks about what the negotiating position of the EU will be and in those talks it will be Germany that talks loudest along with the seven other net contributors to the EU shambles, the 19 other member states who are beneficiaries of EU largesse will have to realise that from March 2019 onwards the pot they consistently dip into is going to be lighter by 11 billion so the eight net contributors either have to come up with the extra cash or everybody in the club has to take less - that is the reality they face. The sooner they recognise that the better for all.