I think it very likely that Freedom of Movement in its current form will end, David, if only because May needs to show we got something out of Brexit and there is no great lobby group fighting for it, if we agree the mobility framework (BBC quote follows): a "mobility framework" will ensure UK and EU citizens can continue to travel to each other's territories and apply for study and work That could be enough to keep businesses happy, whether we are talking fruit pickers or Airbus sending support staff overseas. It will not help the individual outside of business very much, but as I say no-one is really fighting for them. So, I think it quite likely Freedom of Movement will end -- except the EU needs to maintain its four freedoms for its own purposes. And I don't think May would jettison the whole caboodle over that. So whether it is kept or not is far more to do with the EU, in my opinion. If the EU do insist upon it, I think we will end up with a relabeling so that it is not called 'Freedom of Movement' but is so in all practical respects, with some minor difference that allows both sides to claim their goals met.
|