Dave the Gnome wrote: If it all goes pear shaped though, will you take responsibility or blame someone else?

That's an interesting question. If it turns out that I was wrong I would admit my mistake but responsibility would have to be shared.

As for gambling, part of my point of view is that it would be a very great gamble to remain in the EU. I see it as a nascent empire of evil. At it's base is deceit and a contempt of the individual. This is charmingly counterpointed by a clumsy incompetence and what I suspect will turn out to be a rather stupid intransigence.

As I have said I expect that in the next five to ten years the EU will collapse under the weight of it's own absurdities. We will be better off out than in if and when that happens.