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User Name Thread Name Subject Posted
Mr Red BS: Coronavirus statistics (26) RE: BS: Coronavirus statistics 19 Apr 20


but a blind faith is shown in predictions based on climate models. ?????

Which is of course a false statement. Like all sweeping generalisations if fails to take into account the caveat that climate predictinS (there are many) are based on modelling that already predicts what has happened up to the present day, qualitatively, numbers are plus. You have a model you have data that are indisputable. You take a subset of data up to (say 10 years ago) and run the model. And you get a qualitative answer that understates the actual. Is that a failure or a warning that your model is incomplete. Or that you don't understand the severity of the situation? If YES then GOTO "denier". Then there is chaos theory that says small changes in starting conditions defeat any prediction because the calculations are many.

COVID-19 predictions were that lock-down would produce a stablisation of cases. AND????? The mathematical model predicted it without stating numbers. It also predicts numbers will rise when restrictions are lifted, so we are hearing limited easing. Would you deny Lock-Down? You see - deniers are dangerous in some situations. Did I mention Trump?


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