Lyrics & Knowledge Personal Pages Record Shop Auction Links Radio & Media Kids Membership Help
The Mudcat Cafesj

User Name Thread Name Subject Posted
Gary T BS: MATH PROBLEM (85* d) RE: BS: MATH PROBLEM 27 Feb 02

Can't remember if it has been phrased this way, but here goes:

If the question were, what are the odds of the prize being in either one of the unopened doors, if you did not know which door was originally chosen, the correct answer is indeed 1 in 2.

This of course is not the question, and the rules and dynamics of the game materially affect which door is opened in relation to which door was intially chosen.

With the question being are you better off switching under the circumstances described, the answer is yes as the odds are 2 in 3. Another way to put it is what are the odds of the prize being in the CHOSEN door, the answer to that being 1 in 3--just as it was in the beginning when the initial choice was made.

Post to this Thread -

Back to the Main Forum Page

By clicking on the User Name, you will requery the forum for that user. You will see everything that he or she has posted with that Mudcat name.

By clicking on the Thread Name, you will be sent to the Forum on that thread as if you selected it from the main Mudcat Forum page.
   * Click on the linked number with * to view the thread split into pages (click "d" for chronologically descending).

By clicking on the Subject, you will also go to the thread as if you selected it from the original Forum page, but also go directly to that particular message.

By clicking on the Date (Posted), you will dig out every message posted that day.

Try it all, you will see.