I would imagine that George W, has learnt, from the experience of his father, that the length of time between the end of the war and the start of the next American Presidential election cannot be longer than the attention span of the American voter (about four months).
For that reason my money is on January 15th 2004.
While we are waiting perhaps you would care to join me in a song....
Come on all you big strong men
Uncle Sam needs your help again
He's got himself in a terrible jam
Way down yonder.......
Wanders off ito distance mumbling