The Mudcat Café TM
Thread #68819 Message #1162168
Posted By: Wolfgang
15-Apr-04 - 04:36 AM
Thread Name: BS: what are the odds?
Subject: RE: BS: what are the odds?
Just to add a bit to what Nigel has posted. How high the odds actually are depends upon the size of the sample you consider (and without that information there is no meaningful answer to your question).
The odds that this will happen to you when you are granny are extremely low.
The odds that this will happen again next year in Vancouver are higher but still low.
The odds that this event will happen again any place in North America during the next decade are reasonably high.
The odds that a similar worthwhile reporting thing (like happens to a grandad; or happens to two daughters; or happens at the day of the marriage; or or or) with births happens next dacade anywhere is as close to certainty as anyone wishes.