I'd probably give Germany a better chance of winning the Euro than this story being true. But then I'd always give even a poor German team a fair chance of winning the Euro.

But I can't see anything inherently improbable in the suggestion that this was a fake from "our side". More especially since that wouldn't necessarily have to mean a fake planned and authorised from a high level - what makes these kind of conspiracies improbable isn't so much "our people would never do something as bad as that", it's "our leaders would never risk authorising something like that, in the light of the consequences if it came out."

So Wolfgang would give it "extremely unlikely, but not thoroughly impossible"; I'd say "possible, but far from being proved". Not really all that much difference.