GUEST,

The presidency is never the challenger's "to lose." it is always the incumbent's "to lose." The incumben has a massive advantage in American politics, where every utterance he makes is on the news. People say things like "why Isn't Kerry fighting back?" Well, of course he is, but the news is not reporting it. So Kerry may well lose, but don't try to rewrite history and claim he was ever LIKELY to have won.