DougR,

Just a correction. An 11 point lead is not an 11 point bounce. If you are split 50-50 one week, then suddenly have a ten-point lead the next, you are at 55-45. That's a 5 point bounce.

Kerry got maybe a 3-point bounce, Bush got maybe a 5 point bounce if this poll can be trusted. That COULD be enough to win the election by, but don't make it out to be a resounding pump-up. There's plenty of time for shit to happen.