Also, GUEST, as I have pointed out on other threads, an American election after one presidential term is NEVER the challenger's to lose. It is ALWAYS the incumbent's to lose. There is healthy portion of the electorate that almost always votes for the incumbent. As all the news analysts will tell you, elections after one term are essentially referenda on the incumbent. The identity of the challenger is less important than the public's feelings about the incumbent. If Bush can make people feel good about him, he will win, no matter how brilliant the challenger is.