It's fairly obvious that the vote on the Iraqi constitution will be positive this Sunday--it will pass. It's more than obvious that the Bush (and Blair) apologists will be patting themselves on the back and trumpeting the results of the vote.

However, it's not at all clear what the vote will really mean.

From what I've read, the vote just puts off grappling with the real issues. The Sunnis will supposedly have the right to ask for amendments. But when they do so, and the amendments don't pass, since the Sunnis are in the distinct minority, there may be even more of a backlash by Sunnis against the entire process.

So, despite what Bush apologists may say, this vote Sunday by no means solves the problem of the Iraq mess.