And current path predictions have it making landfall in southwest Florida around Port Charlotte. That's where Hurricane Charlie, the third costliest hurricane to ever hit the U.S. (Behind Katrina and Andrew) hit about 14 months ago. If recovery down there has moved at about the same pace that it has up here where Ivan hit, there are a lot of semi-completed repairs that will be extremely vulnerable.

There are also thousands of people still living in FEMA-provided mobile homes which FEMA has only anchored to withstand Category 2 storms. Of course, it doesn't really matter how well mobile homes in big parks are anchored in major storms because once the shrapnel stars flying, breaking windows, piercing flimsy sheet-metal siding, and allowing strong winds inside the things, they just explode anyway adding even more shrapnel to the mix. That's why individual mobile homes on discrete lots can survive hurricanes while those mega-parks with hundreds of units get flattened.