Amos:

Even though you have mixed ethnicitiesor sects in the three areas, There will large majority that will have control in each area which should calm things down. Baghdad will continue to be a trouble spot.

It is a shame the the fertile plain between the tigris and euphrates, the cradle of civilization should end up in such a mess.

I said years ago that Iraq will probably end up in three parts.

The english made arbitrary [knotheaded] decisions about where the borders should be which has caused problems ever since. Look at the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan. The Durand Line.

drawn in 1893 by Sir Mortimer Durand, then foreign secretary in British India, and was acceded to by the amir of Afghanistan that same year. This boundary, called the Durand Line, was not in doubt when Pakistan became independent in 1947, although its legitimacy was in later years disputed periodically by the Afghan government as well as by Pashtun tribes straddling the Pakistan-Afghanistan border. On the one hand, Afghanistan claimed that the Durand Line had been imposed by a stronger power upon a weaker one, and it favored the establishment of still another state to be called Pashtunistan or Pakhtunistan. On the other hand, Pakistan, as the legatee of the British in the region, insisted on the legality and permanence of the boundary.

There should have been another country between them for Pashtuns but the line goes through their territory and divides them.

It is a shame the the fertile plain between the Tigris and Euphrates, the cradle of civilization should end up in such a mess.

I agree with RD that It's the Model T Ford made the trouble.