It makes no sense militarily or diplomatically to attack Iran. Does that mean they (Americans or Israelis or both) won't do it? Not necessarily. But there are certainly strong reasons for them not to do it. It depends how rational they are about it, I suppose.

Do I regard Bush as irrational, Ron? Yes and no. Remember, I said that all people are irrational about some things and at certain times, while they are rational about a lot of other things much of the time. Same goes for Bush. No one is just either "rational" or "irrational", including Bush and Ahmadinejad. It isn't a clear dichotomy. Would Bush be irrational in regards to attacking Iran? I'm not sure.

We'll have to wait and see.