The conventional argument has been that Jeb Bush must run in 2008, because if he doesn't run and whoever else the Republicans barf up does win, Jeb can't run until 2016 'cause he can't go up against an incumbent Republican President in 2012. Problem is that the Bush name has become such an onus that he'd never stand a chance. Best Jeb can hope for is a Democratic win in 2008, a lackluster four years under Hillary, Obama, or whoever, and the gullibility of the US populace when he repeatedly says, "I'm nothing like my brother!" between now and then.