Predicting that something is going to happen and explaining why it is going to happen is not the same as excusing it.

The strange thing is that people who are generally pretty clear thinking so often seem to find that distinction very hard to understand.

I have every right to leave my car keys sticking in the lock. If you see me doing that, please point it out to me. I promise that I will not accuse you of implying that, if I leave the keys there, a passing thief would be entitled to steal my car.