The inimitable Maureen Dowd writes:

"...After getting Iraq wrong and Iran wrong in 2005 and almost every other big thing wrong since the nation began spending billions every year on intelligence, the burned spooks may not have wanted to play the patsy again while W., Cheney and the neocons beat the drums for an Iran invasion.

Now the apple-polishing George Tenet is gone. The man who oversaw the new estimate is Tom Fingar, a former State Department intelligence officer who was smart and brave enough to object to the cooked-up intelligence on Iraqi W.M.D.

"The way they used to do business was to write estimates in a way that couched things so they said, 'We may not always be right, but we're never wrong,' " said Tim Weiner, the reporter for The Times who wrote the award-winning history of the C.I.A., "Legacy of Ashes." "This is a slam-dunk reversal, admitting error. Now, when they play poker, they show their hands to each other, so they don't get another curveball."

The president, who has shut out reality for seven years, justified continuing in his world of ideological illusion by saying that he would not be "blinded" to the realities of the world. You can't get more Orwellian than that.

"And so," W. concluded triumphantly, and nonsensically, "kind of Psychology 101 ain't working."

W. loves to act as though psychology is voodoo even though his whole misbegotten foreign policy has been conducted from his gut, by checking the body language of his inner circle and looking into the hearts and souls of dictatorial leaders.

If I were looking at the latest fiasco from a Psych 101 point of view, I'd say it was another daddy issue for W.

Poppy Bush, who was once C.I.A. director, loved the agency and liked to sign notes: "Head Spook." The C.I.A. headquarters bear his name.

W., by contrast, has voiced contempt for the intelligence community. In 2004, he dismissed a pessimistic National Intelligence Estimate that didn't match his sunny vision of the Iraq occupation, saying that the analysts were "just guessing as to what the conditions might be like."

When W.'s history is written, he will be seen as the rebellious teenager crashing the family station wagon into his father's three most cherished spots — diplomacy, intelligence and the Gulf. ..."

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