I don't care what Ron Davies or the commentators say--it is all about race with African American voters this year, even though it ain't PC to say it. It is the truth.

How many African American voters will vote for Clinton if Obama doesn't get the nod? Hard to say. I think Clinton getting the nomination will suppress African American voter turnout. However, there is a possibility that will also change the Democratic party voting demographics this year. It could be this year would be the first year we see the Latino voting bloc become more important than the African American voting bloc. And I've been saying that for some time now.

There is a lot of tension between Latino and African American communities in places like Texas, New Orleans, LA. Sure the Obama Love Fest brings in some young Latino voters, but he has had an extremely difficult time winning over that community.

If Clinton wins the nomination, she will do it without her husband's most historically significant and loyal voting bloc: African Americans, and by winning back a bloc of voters her husband did marginally well with: working class whites, also known as the Reagan Democrats.

If Obama wins the nomination, it will be because he is able to win the rural white vote & Pittsburgh's working class white voters than have been going to Clinton. That doesn't seem very likely at this point, but stranger things have happened in this election cycle.