No, it will have to do with whether Obama gets trounced in November, or elected in November.

Either way, Obama's "surge" of new voters will become quickly disillusioned.

That's the way the game is played. The way the cookie crumbles. That's the just way it is--somethings will never change (to quote Bruce Hornsby), and I'm just tellin' it like it is (to quote Howard Cosell).