From the linked BBC Article:

"The University of California team will report their work in the Journal of Environment Economics and Management.

They warn that unchecked future growth will dwarf any emissions cuts made by rich nations under the Kyoto Protocol."

"University of California report warns that unless China radically changes its energy policies, its increases in greenhouse gases will be several times larger than the cuts in emissions being made by rich nations under the Kyoto Protocol."

"The only solution is for a massive transfer of technology and wealth from the West" - Dr Max Auffhammer, Lead researcher.

"Dr Auffhammer told BBC News that his projections had made an assumption that the Chinese government's recent aggressive energy efficiency programme would fail, as the previous one had failed badly.

"Our figures for (Chinese) emissions growth are truly shocking," he said."


I hate to point it out to such an august "Lead Researcher" as Dr Auffhammer, but I fail to see why this news should come as such a surprise.

About eight years ago someone else pointed all this out by way of explanation as to how Kyoto would simply not work. He also explained how any international agreement on the environment had to include the burgeoning industrial economies of China, India and Brazil and that effective progress in reducing greenhouse gasses would have to be "technology lead".

Anybody care to tell the others who it is that I am talking about?